Aents
IthaonVaughanWilliamsahforhelpfulinformatiodds,LesMillerfortheresultsofhissimulatioespins,IanMcHaleforhisdetailedexplanationofhowtoestimatethewinnihe32teamsinthefinalsofsoccer’sWorlddDerekRobinsonforhishelpwiththediagrams。Iamparticularlygratefultoananonymousreferee,whoseadstruentshavehelpedmeremoveambiguities,orderthematerialmoretly,aodrawoutthetralideasofthesubject。
Ibegfivehoseotherswhhemselvesastheunaowledgediion,opinioesinthisbook,butIhavereliedontoomaogiveindividualcrediteverytime。Thisisnotaise,witheveryassertiooitsroots,butaosharpenthereader’sappreofwhatthesubjectofprobabilityisabout,hoed,amightbeapplied。
Allerrorsahatremainareminealone。
JohnHaigh
August2011